Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Take First Corner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40994a87e7ce9867f4d4b75ff6b4b87139b14bfb990cde1534d0c3dd4f8749f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colombiaof Switzerland, Colombia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Switzerland | 0c | 16,633$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Switzerland | 0c | 8,045$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -95.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…77c6backed Switzerland | 1c | 4,663$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…e088backed Switzerland | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Colombia | 51c | 703.96$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.46 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Switzerland | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Switzerland | 48c | 306.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Switzerland | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Colombia | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Switzerland | 46c | 206.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Colombia | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Switzerland | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Colombia | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Colombia | 52c | 109.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Switzerland | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Colombia | 52c | 99.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland | 48c | 77.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colombia | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Colombia | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Switzerland | 46c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Switzerland | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…613dbacked Colombia | 52c | 38.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…127bbacked Switzerland | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Colombia | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…8c7dbacked Colombia | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Colombia | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Colombia | 54c | 18.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Take First Cornerthis page
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.