Champions League · resolved market
FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf539d9a3ea5351131535fcd3bdd16c85f82e60fd7b97cadafc9e5ebb59936307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 70c | 2,577$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.11 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 959.63$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.52 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 921.79$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.81 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 46c | 543.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 389.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 40c | 335.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 300.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 246.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 233.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 46c | 210.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 63c | 200.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 179.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 62c | 152.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 67c | 134.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 125.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 37c | 118.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Under | 47c | 107.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 38c | 76.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Under | 66c | 71.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 52.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 36c | 52.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 63c | 50.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 47c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 53c | 41.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 47c | 37.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 57c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 23.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Atert Bissen (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FC Atert Bissen (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FC Atert Bissen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.