Champions League · resolved market
FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f256caab31c5e982d723a00dbda96e007e64d8be94af161e7f154b3d9468d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 14,610$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 19c | 1,591$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.78 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 610.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Under | 34c | 546.38$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Over | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 40c | 445.25$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 18c | 428.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 14c | 409.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 65c | 382.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 301.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 60c | 296.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 60c | 279.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 259.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 40c | 251.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 11c | 213.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 203.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 41c | 165.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 61c | 110.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 100.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Under | 42c | 99.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 61c | 62.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 59.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 55.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 60c | 54.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 40c | 51.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 43c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: KÍ O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Atert Bissen (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FC Atert Bissen (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FC Atert Bissen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.