South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21e12bb432367cd6745cac1ad422400cf56b6a698b139b3fdf2254b780b026c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 7,656$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.97 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 52c | 5,555$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.57 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 41c | 4,427$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.87 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 3,806$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.66 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,190$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.66 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 866.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 61c | 664.75$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 61c | 450$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 61c | 325$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 60c | 315.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 53c | 302.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 43c | 261$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 61c | 175$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 61c | 163.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 60c | 156.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 61c | 129.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 60c | 101.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 65c | 99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 40c | 75.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 65.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 44c | 63.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 74c | 50.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 48.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 54c | 46.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 35.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 78c | 29.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…9d5ebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Under | 56c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 60c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 61c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.