South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec7def0e00bd1a517db4cf0fd9b2800807a466fddf19ee91da682d73240cd36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 37c | 7,952$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.98 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 5,619$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 2,488$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 65c | 380$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 41c | 294.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 262.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 35c | 204.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 132.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 64c | 114.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 93.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 91.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Over | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 37c | 67.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 43.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Over | 73c | 35.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 37c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 32.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Over | 37c | 30.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 28.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 59c | 27.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 50c | 26.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…e723backed Over | 45c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 68c | 23.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 56c | 20.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. América de Cali: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.