TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Yuta Shimizu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yuta Shimizu26c4,041$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.318,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Sho Shimabukuro64c2,849$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.6741060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Sho Shimabukuro64c1,777$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.765651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Sho Shimabukuro58c1,352$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6327739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yuta Shimizu36c1,136$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1425433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Yuta Shimizu42c1,027$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.31933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Sho Shimabukuro63c1,000$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.127444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yuta Shimizu31c734.74$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.764,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yuta Shimizu21c689.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14438013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yuta Shimizu42c663.52$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.277139.4%28 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yuta Shimizu35c623.88$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7615040%60 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sho Shimabukuro63c595.03$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.161,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro72c573.76$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.118,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Sho Shimabukuro65c451.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.152,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yuta Shimizu35c410.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.367,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Sho Shimabukuro65c345.83$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5331841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yuta Shimizu41c338.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro74c334.24$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Sho Shimabukuro59c330.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.561,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yuta Shimizu37c327.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.688737.9%33 W · 54 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu34c301.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.226,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yuta Shimizu37c300.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6127755.6%154 W · 123 L-1.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Yuta Shimizu37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37cc…d652backed Yuta Shimizu38c263.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Yuta Shimizu38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Yuta Shimizu37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yuta Shimizu35c246.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3713450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Sho Shimabukuro58c226.43$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.185748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yuta Shimizu35c220.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yuta Shimizu36c201.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.663,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yuta Shimizu34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6856827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yuta Shimizu15c186.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuta Shimizu36c174.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.277,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yuta Shimizu34c140.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6225342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Sho Shimabukuro64c139.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5533647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Yuta Shimizu35c138.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Yuta Shimizu16c133.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1518033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yuta Shimizu31c126.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.343,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Sho Shimabukuro62c122$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.196426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205a…682abacked Sho Shimabukuro58c118.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.911353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Sho Shimabukuro66c118.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3414132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yuta Shimizu35c114.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.883,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yuta Shimizu19c102.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0613033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yuta Shimizu36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yuta Shimizu44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb0…99a6backed Yuta Shimizu37c99.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.993036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yuta Shimizu35c88.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.941,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yuta Shimizu35c87.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7542344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Sho Shimabukuro80c80.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1928348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yuta Shimizu37c76.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sho Shimabukuro64c72.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.181,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Yuta Shimizu36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Sho Shimabukuro62c60.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.021,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Yuta Shimizu34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yuta Shimizu36c54.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…b707backed Yuta Shimizu39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205856.9%33 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yuta Shimizu36c49.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yuta Shimizu37c48.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a8…cbeabacked Sho Shimabukuro65c46.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.438263.4%52 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Sho Shimabukuro64c44.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.994165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sho Shimabukuro80c41.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.316,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c39.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yuta Shimizu39c39.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.462,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Yuta Shimizu28c38.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9717460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc09…f937backed Yuta Shimizu39c36.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.135543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Sho Shimabukuro68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5488560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Sho Shimabukuro61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Sho Shimabukuro56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.346848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Sho Shimabukuro75c33.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Sho Shimabukuro63c32.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.193542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe42…b3b2backed Yuta Shimizu36c32.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Sho Shimabukuro63c31.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6231563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yuta Shimizu38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yuta Shimizu42c28.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Sho Shimabukuro73c28.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Yuta Shimizu36c28.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.127638.2%29 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sho Shimabukuro63c28.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.233,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Yuta Shimizu36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0890340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sho Shimabukuro79c25.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.275,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Sho Shimabukuro66c24.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Sho Shimabukuro64c21.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Sho Shimabukuro63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48572.9%62 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7d…64dabacked Sho Shimabukuro65c16.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.932864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.