South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bdcceb36be75e8ec80f1e99b2811984a04d1a650970085be2cf393fdbc8716e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 5,782$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.15 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,586$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 38c | 4,579$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.16 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 49c | 1,994$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.16 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,133$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 685.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 31c | 589.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 58c | 578.05$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 536.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 64c | 494.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 61c | 466.93$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 62c | 445.4$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.34 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 393.43$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 392.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 385.65$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 384$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 62c | 376.17$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 362.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 359.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 49c | 302.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 60c | 245.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 242.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 242.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 7c | 230.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 56c | 209.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 48c | 203.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 164.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 60c | 163.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 157$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 67c | 146.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 107.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Over | 45c | 98.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 57c | 88.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 82.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 60c | 81.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 55c | 73.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 55c | 73.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 34c | 65.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 66c | 61.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 59.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 58.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 58.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 52c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 61c | 31.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 39c | 27.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Over | 48c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…ab3bbacked Under | 49c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5this page
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5Over won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5Over won
- AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)CA Banfield won
- Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)AA Argentinos Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.