Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbcb25817e5e052b23ccc77f9f1e51a61bb6a88b93fb674aec9be11b9a1ef409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof Division One, YFP Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed YFP Gaming | 47c | 318$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Division One | 53c | 214.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed YFP Gaming | 46c | 172.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Division One | 69c | 154.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed YFP Gaming | 16c | 146.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Division One | 63c | 93.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Division One | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed YFP Gaming | 17c | 69.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Division One | 56c | 58.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked YFP Gaming | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Division One | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YFP Gaming | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed YFP Gaming | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Division One | 73c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Division One | 72c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageYFP Gaming won
- Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming - Map 1 WinnerYFP Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.