South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f7b798e87ee8e5b9f8d01e9a768887cda46ae31ba98a5ec96beda411d1dd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes | 5c | 5,499$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 4,052$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 2,773$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.29 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…f860backed Yes | 21c | 2,680$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,499$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 29c | 2,028$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.22 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 1,707$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.69 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 73c | 1,348$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 19c | 1,026$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 936.5$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.64 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 5c | 724.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed No | 70c | 672.16$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed No | 76c | 519.1$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Yes | 30c | 496.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 21c | 455.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 6c | 425.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 28c | 411.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 26c | 371.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 6c | 273.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 5c | 240.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 236.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 6c | 235.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 6c | 179.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 150.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 27c | 135.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 20c | 127.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 28c | 118.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 26c | 113.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 21c | 96.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 28c | 96.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Yes | 20c | 95.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 77.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 65c | 74.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 66.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 28c | 65.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 24c | 56.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 54.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 69c | 45.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 61c | 22.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 61c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 61c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 61c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 61c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 61c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 61c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-14?this page
- Will Club Bolívar vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.