Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeebed1036cb6262f13e7e725778294e250292055d8c83f28de466827e89065d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 5,012$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.3 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 2,213$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 883.53$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 645.32$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 43c | 330.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 218.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Over | 52c | 205.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 33c | 164.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 52c | 149.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 51c | 146.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 52c | 130.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 115.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 108.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 102.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 54c | 87.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 86.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 49c | 76.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 22c | 62.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 40c | 57.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 61c | 55.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 51c | 41.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 74c | 38.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 72c | 29.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Over | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…a362backed Under | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 52c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.