Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f94b39695a12f3da8b81d6501d664216fd9f5063c1b84c7fd705e5d42f198a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 999.86$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 704.47$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 70c | 676$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 71c | 676$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 476.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 20c | 387.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 29c | 252.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 47c | 144.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 29c | 105.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 70c | 44.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 76c | 43.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 38.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 29c | 35.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 79c | 22.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 80c | 16.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.