TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11e8…a362

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.37
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.77
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$7.67
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$18.05
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$8.4
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$7.66
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$17.07
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.04
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$12.75
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$8.76
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.48
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$5.43
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.46
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$14.47
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$28.82
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.49
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.98
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$8.38
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tallahassee: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Galanbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$36.05
Santa Cruz: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$31.2
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.89
Tallahassee: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Jessika Ponchetbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+142%+$31.49
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Tallahassee: Colton Smith vs Garrett Johnsbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Oeiras 3: Darja Semenistaja vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Chloe Paquet vs Xinyu Wangbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$12.96
BMW Open: Justin Engel vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.36
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynetsbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+179.8%+$77.93
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Blinkova vs Dominika Salkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Oeiras 3: Anouk Koevermans vs Matilde Jorgebacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.35
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$23.17
Busan: Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$5.2
Busan: Renta Tokuda vs Coleman Wongbacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Santa Cruz: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$16.43
Tallahassee: Dmitry Popko vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$10.16
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$18.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.32
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$10.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.35
Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$17.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.