TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tallahassee: Colton Smith vs Garrett Johns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garrett Johnsof Colton Smith, Garrett Johns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Garrett Johns71c3,029$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Garrett Johns59c2,301$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.322,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith42c1,955$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.8711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Garrett Johns59c1,395$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.691,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Garrett Johns39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9813450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Colton Smith49c1,173$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Colton Smith23c1,158$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6329241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Garrett Johns66c920.12$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.163,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Colton Smith61c664.09$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0929444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Garrett Johns39c637.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.746050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Colton Smith60c634.78$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.871,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Colton Smith22c617.24$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.331,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Garrett Johns59c579.35$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colton Smith22c458.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Colton Smith31c453.06$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0327247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Colton Smith36c436.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.572,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Colton Smith34c400$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13465346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…0247backed Garrett Johns39c370.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.031758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Garrett Johns48c358.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.979,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colton Smith17c357.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.611,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Colton Smith71c354.47$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.272,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Garrett Johns58c308.1$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.762,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Garrett Johns40c301.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.751,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Garrett Johns38c268.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.283,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Colton Smith32c239.96$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4619851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Garrett Johns51c226.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.925552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Colton Smith46c220.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.619443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Garrett Johns51c214.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.045961%36 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Garrett Johns50c199.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.674,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colton Smith51c198.35$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.961,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Colton Smith42c173.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7451445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Garrett Johns44c172$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3238955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Garrett Johns72c167.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4723457.3%134 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2410…340cbacked Garrett Johns50c164.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Colton Smith61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6638664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Colton Smith61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6610156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colton Smith17c155.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.896,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Colton Smith61c141.61$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.381,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Garrett Johns72c137.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Colton Smith25c124.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.073,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Colton Smith39c121.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0363052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colton Smith39c121.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.031,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Colton Smith39c121.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0348453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Garrett Johns57c119.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Colton Smith39c117.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5512359.3%73 W · 50 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Colton Smith39c114.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4619055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b98…2919backed Colton Smith53c109.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.42213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a2…40c4backed Garrett Johns77c109.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.995660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Colton Smith39c108.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8728454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Garrett Johns55c100.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0148650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Garrett Johns40c96.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8477047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Garrett Johns40c96.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8446848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a6…b7dcbacked Colton Smith29c95.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.765944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…f35cbacked Colton Smith41c84.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.492227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Garrett Johns59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Colton Smith41c81.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6829652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Garrett Johns52c76.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9539039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Colton Smith62c75.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9119344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Colton Smith25c75.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Garrett Johns40c72.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3842344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Garrett Johns45c72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.681457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Garrett Johns45c70.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.622070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Colton Smith61c70.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8996844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Colton Smith43c68.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5216757.5%96 W · 71 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Colton Smith43c68.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5243752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Garrett Johns61c65.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.655,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Colton Smith41c64.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5611753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Colton Smith59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Garrett Johns62c57.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.854,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Colton Smith59c55.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.82,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…6834backed Colton Smith41c54.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-47.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Colton Smith40c50.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3133557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colton Smith28c49.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Colton Smith37c49.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e8…a362backed Colton Smith38c48.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.572450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Garrett Johns74c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3591880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Garrett Johns52c46.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.746,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Garrett Johns65c45.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.775773.7%42 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Garrett Johns39c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked Colton Smith37c40.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9811258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Colton Smith42c39.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.824839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Colton Smith61c39.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9114958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Garrett Johns39c37.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1760240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Garrett Johns70c37.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213889.5%34 W · 4 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+38.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Garrett Johns40c36.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.792,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked Colton Smith32c34.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.938242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3f0…f424backed Colton Smith45c33.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.235054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Garrett Johns59c33.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7122646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Garrett Johns55c32.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.766,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Colton Smith61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.532,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Colton Smith61c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.534957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Colton Smith61c31.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.324965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Colton Smith39c29.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4617152.6%90 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372d…de03backed Colton Smith47c29.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.721650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Garrett Johns47c28.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1657447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Colton Smith61c24.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9275262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Colton Smith61c24.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6552457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Colton Smith56c23.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0974955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Colton Smith55c21.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6834957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Colton Smith62c17.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9215146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.