Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Tessa Brockmann vs Kristina Mladenovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca32a5d3bd0b90a8a811bf9bb337cbc690a8ef7f8b48c00f43aaf81b10dbe36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tessa Brockmannof Tessa Brockmann, Kristina Mladenovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kristina Mladenovic | 25c | 2,399$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Tessa Brockmann | 72c | 1,502$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.59 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Tessa Brockmann | 79c | 379.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kristina Mladenovic | 41c | 302.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 40c | 250.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Tessa Brockmann | 79c | 218.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 45 | 84.4%38 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kristina Mladenovic | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tessa Brockmann | 59c | 190.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tessa Brockmann | 78c | 166.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tessa Brockmann | 60c | 162.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kristina Mladenovic | 9c | 162.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Kristina Mladenovic | 7c | 159.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 130.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tessa Brockmann | 69c | 93.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 74.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Tessa Brockmann | 60c | 66.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 52.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tessa Brockmann | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kristina Mladenovic | 38c | 49.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Tessa Brockmann | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Kristina Mladenovic | 39c | 40.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Tessa Brockmann | 69c | 40.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Tessa Brockmann | 61c | 39.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 35c | 37.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tessa Brockmann | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tessa Brockmann | 62c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Tessa Brockmann | 59c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.