NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f5a1166b752c38555e1893117edc75e4ac91086ebbcdc4b88163866fd7bc9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,629$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 718.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Under | 55c | 497.29$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 47c | 366.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 8c | 310.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 35c | 272.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 266.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 35c | 264.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 35c | 241.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 35c | 235.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 37c | 209.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 55c | 144.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 36c | 115.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…a846backed Under | 56c | 87.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 81.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 73.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 52c | 68.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 60.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 59.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Under | 55c | 52.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 67c | 52.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 55c | 46.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 45c | 45.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 64c | 45.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Over | 64c | 45.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 35c | 43.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 38.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 47c | 38.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 68c | 36.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 45c | 33.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over | 44c | 26.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 44c | 25.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 49c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 47c | 21.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 18.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5this page
- Clippers vs. KingsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Devin Carter: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-11.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-12.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.