TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under0c10,523$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.061,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over46c7,998$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.337653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.951,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c4,199$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.672,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,040$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.399,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over47c4,038$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.119440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c3,768$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c2,251$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.6222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c2,122$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.2214441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under52c1,942$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.051850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…15b9backed Under53c1,846$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under53c1,205$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.479447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,120$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under52c1,070$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.4424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e9f4backed Under53c1,069$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c919.77$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.462,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c591.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c572.14$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c530$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c524.98$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under53c408.62$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c400.59$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.431,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under53c398.12$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21116642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over47c383.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2227735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Under53c364.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.542657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c349.11$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c302.74$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.451,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c300.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Over48c298.56$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.353053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over54c294.92$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6621653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over45c278$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c259.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.151,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c251.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under54c251.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9735052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under54c251.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9712752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under54c251.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c249.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under54c249.42$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.694667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c248.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.71,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c248.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under54c248.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under54c248.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c248.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over44c241.5$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c230.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under54c227.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c224.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under53c223.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.571,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under53c223.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.465156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under54c222.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0422047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.035448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0314852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under54c222.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0311346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under54c219.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under54c216.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under51c215.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c208.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under52c207.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1121347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd926…3c30backed Under55c199.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over47c199.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under54c180.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2215252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under54c178.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under54c175.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9717350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over46c170$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over47c164.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.348545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over47c163.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c150.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under54c141.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1836852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c139.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee7…2417backed Over47c124.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under52c118.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8310753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under54c114.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under54c108.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3316053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Over47c101.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.529345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c98.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under54c92.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.899848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Under14c91.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.824654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Over47c89.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3617041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over47c84.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.596040%24 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under54c72.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3213052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under54c72.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.25653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under54c70.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under53c64.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0110047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c63.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over48c61.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under53c58.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.930256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over46c58.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.471,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c56.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c55.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c54.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c50.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2655444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.