MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b61608551e327f5c35c59e3aa9ba1a612cb2d6ab898161f78e06bb1184fa934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Detroit Tigers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 11,875$7,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,134.8 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 5,502$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,884$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.6 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,630$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.7 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,082$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…ff6bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 981.84$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 947.46$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 819.66$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 499.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 479.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 367.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 331.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 248.39$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 211.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 113.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 93.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 80.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 62.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 59.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 48.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 38.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 37.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…3b76backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 29.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 25.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 325 | 50.5%164 W · 161 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit TigersSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.