Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9857cba3033a459bb0349a92a0173204884f9b90c4d5077d89fdb897ee97619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Yes | 45c | 11,200$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 3,619$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.45 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…cf1fbacked No | 61c | 3,056$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,969$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.13 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 2,811$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.49 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 47c | 1,877$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.09 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 56c | 1,684$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.12 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.93 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 984.72$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.24 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 720.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 613.81$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 589.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 429.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 55c | 361.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 45c | 337.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 329.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 61c | 298.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked No | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 69c | 158.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 33c | 157.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 146.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Yes | 76c | 129.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Yes | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 108.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 13c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 55c | 82.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 42c | 79.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 24c | 78.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 55c | 75.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 55c | 71.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 49c | 62.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 57.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 55c | 43.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 50c | 40.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 53c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 36.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 73c | 32.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 53c | 31.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 37c | 27.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 40c | 27.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 56c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 59c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 67c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.