TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c4,732$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.8491537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c3,875$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.6931847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c3,684$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.8572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c3,010$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.641,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c2,726$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.3633844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No70c2,162$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.1216440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002568%17 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+51.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c1,656$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6860136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes7c1,643$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes35c1,439$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+125.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes31c1,110$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.16331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2758232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c1,099$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c969.03$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.261,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No71c772$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes28c637.53$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.48440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes31c602.32$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.627031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c600$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4924340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c571.64$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c463.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.826845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c454.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.624942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c454.43$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f9…1fafbacked Yes32c450$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No69c402.97$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c352.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes34c342$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.286659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c315.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8327236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee2…30bbbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No66c302.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c273.55$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.41,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No77c240$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No72c232$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.966142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Yes32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes23c188.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes31c162.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes32c139.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf56…50e7backed Yes31c111.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes13c111.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4832843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…ac3abacked Yes30c105.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1910539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes14c91.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c88.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7529746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes20c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.665763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.430656.9%174 W · 132 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7511846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x550a…6412backed Yes30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82065%13 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9824252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b40…cc6ebacked Yes30c58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c57.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4146741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked No77c51.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.527100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes24c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.183246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c41.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8516651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No69c40.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No78c39.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7515954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed No78c37.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.381675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No69c36.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.279553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed No69c36.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed No78c36.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…c7a5backed No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed No78c31.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853183.9%26 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf6…5df6backed No71c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0d…ff48backed No71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No78c28.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.363974.4%29 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2f9…f590backed No71c28.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No76c22.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3214353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83b…dedfbacked No71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b51…6ea3backed No73c18.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No69c14.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3910151.5%52 W · 49 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.