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South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SC Corinthians Paulistaof SC Corinthians Paulista, Clube do Remo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo62c8,308$5,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,158.028,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Clube do Remo62c3,835$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.6435946.8%168 W · 191 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Clube do Remo62c3,617$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.821915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-70%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c3,483$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.532,36534.5%817 W · 1,548 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c3,397$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.6729140.2%117 W · 174 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked SC Corinthians Paulista38c2,364$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.81,25753.6%674 W · 583 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c2,230$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.881,30553.6%700 W · 605 L+5.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c1,816$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.9239432.5%128 W · 266 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c1,315$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.31,67850.8%853 W · 825 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked SC Corinthians Paulista38c1,315$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.11,36249.8%678 W · 684 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c1,298$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.852,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Clube do Remo4c1,126$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.02156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Clube do Remo63c1,076$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4255250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Clube do Remo62c315.3$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8365761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Clube do Remo64c313.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9764633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Clube do Remo49c155.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0159…2b48backed Clube do Remo63c155.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.932161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Clube do Remo63c154.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Clube do Remo70c150.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Clube do Remo8c144$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8192646.3%429 W · 497 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Clube do Remo70c141.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SC Corinthians Paulista48c135.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6952443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.584337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Clube do Remo63c120$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Clube do Remo62c117$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5474258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed SC Corinthians Paulista80c113.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7820655.8%115 W · 91 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Clube do Remo62c106.58$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0818948.7%92 W · 97 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed SC Corinthians Paulista37c103.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.232,64854.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SC Corinthians Paulista51c97.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9554245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Clube do Remo63c97.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1733152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Clube do Remo63c76.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4571836.8%264 W · 454 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SC Corinthians Paulista59c73.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0250546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Clube do Remo63c70.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6732335.9%116 W · 207 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked SC Corinthians Paulista73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.636745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked SC Corinthians Paulista38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Clube do Remo66c62.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.196055.7%535 W · 425 L+30.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Clube do Remo43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.692945.1%419 W · 510 L-27.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SC Corinthians Paulista37c59.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6740750.9%207 W · 200 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Clube do Remo62c54.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8119164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked SC Corinthians Paulista38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.637061.4%43 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c86…abc9backed Clube do Remo63c47.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clube do Remo62c43.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.122,00451.3%1,028 W · 976 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Clube do Remo26c43.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4617264%110 W · 62 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Clube do Remo62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Clube do Remo34c32.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed SC Corinthians Paulista38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed SC Corinthians Paulista44c28.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7956537.5%212 W · 353 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Clube do Remo63c27.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141,48437.3%554 W · 930 L+3.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Clube do Remo65c22.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SC Corinthians Paulista69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Clube do Remo62c19.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9934365.9%226 W · 117 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c7…216abacked Clube do Remo65c18.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd54…b7aebacked Clube do Remo63c17.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.