Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ea5ac28a2496bca8f5162d2dd516be8f0d4b62a404ff8af2013bd6c5ef6c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nakashimaof Nakashima, Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Nakashima | 60c | 65,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cilic | 42c | 37,349$15,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,544.5 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cilic | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nakashima | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.99 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Cilic | 40c | 16,626$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650.4 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cilic | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Cilic | 40c | 14,772$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Nakashima | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cilic | 40c | 7,469$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.6 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cilic | 15c | 7,205$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cilic | 5c | 6,328$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.08 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Cilic | 40c | 5,555$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Cilic | 21c | 3,574$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.61 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Nakashima | 55c | 3,009$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.48 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nakashima | 77c | 2,902$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.28 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nakashima | 56c | 2,438$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.33 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nakashima | 59c | 2,220$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.16 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cilic | 41c | 2,134$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.94 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nakashima | 58c | 1,862$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.06 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Cilic | 20c | 1,855$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.62 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Cilic | 19c | 1,560$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cilic | 39c | 1,456$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nakashima | 72c | 1,041$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cilic | 41c | 1,007$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.68 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nakashima | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Cilic | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Nakashima | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Cilic | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cilic | 42c | 924.37$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cilic | 33c | 906.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Cilic | 15c | 893.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Nakashima | 60c | 744.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.76 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Cilic | 44c | 705.1$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.63 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Cilic | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Cilic | 17c | 681$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cilic | 39c | 675$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Nakashima | 60c | 644.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Cilic | 21c | 629.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nakashima | 74c | 628$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nakashima | 56c | 618.91$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cilic | 32c | 596.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Cilic | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cilic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Cilic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Nakashima | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nakashima | 59c | 489.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Nakashima | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nakashima | 56c | 409.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cilic | 23c | 347.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Nakashima | 59c | 340.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.63 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cilic | 42c | 336$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cilic | 11c | 330.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nakashima | 58c | 324.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Cilic | 42c | 310.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cilic | 9c | 300.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Cilic | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Nakashima | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Cilic | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cilic | 20c | 251.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nakashima | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cilic | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Cilic | 19c | 237.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Cilic | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cilic | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Cilic | 29c | 226.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cilic | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Cilic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nakashima | 60c | 217.02$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Nakashima | 63c | 213.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Cilic | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nakashima | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nakashima | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Nakashima | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Cilic | 10c | 196.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Nakashima | 54c | 195.82$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nakashima | 58c | 193.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Nakashima | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Cilic | 28c | 178.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nakashima | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Cilic | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cilic | 39c | 160.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Nakashima | 63c | 159.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Cilic | 41c | 153.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Nakashima | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Nakashima | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cilic | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Cilic | 18c | 144.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Cilic | 21c | 143.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Nakashima | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cilic | 41c | 132.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Cilic | 17c | 127.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Cilic | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…ad45backed Nakashima | 56c | 107.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Cilic | 16c | 103.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nakashima | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Cilic | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Cilic | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Nakashima | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Cilic | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Nakashima | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.