TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nakashimaof Nakashima, Cilic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dbf…53bebacked Nakashima60c65,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,0001250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cilic42c37,349$15,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,544.538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cilic40c25,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nakashima59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.996552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Cilic40c16,626$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Cilic20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Cilic40c14,772$5,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Nakashima59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cilic40c7,469$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.61,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cilic15c7,205$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cilic5c6,328$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Cilic40c5,555$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22226545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Cilic21c3,574$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.611,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Nakashima55c3,009$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.4824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nakashima77c2,902$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.282,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Nakashima56c2,438$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.335860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Nakashima59c2,220$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.1676146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Cilic41c2,134$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.941,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Nakashima58c1,862$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.061,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Cilic20c1,855$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.626835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Cilic19c1,560$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cilic39c1,456$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.897147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nakashima72c1,041$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Cilic41c1,007$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.681,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Nakashima53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47023945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Cilic40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Nakashima59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cilic21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Cilic42c924.37$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9946553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Cilic33c906.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2225433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Cilic15c893.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13468026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Nakashima60c744.76$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7610557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Cilic44c705.1$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.639630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Cilic19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13318439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Cilic17c681$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.777632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cilic39c675$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.521,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Nakashima60c644.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.995362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7e4…7310backed Cilic21c629.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13380%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nakashima74c628$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nakashima56c618.91$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.827,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Cilic32c596.59$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Cilic44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cilic40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Cilic20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Nakashima61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.89453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Nakashima59c489.69$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6923353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Nakashima61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nakashima56c409.35$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cilic23c347.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Nakashima59c340.56$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6314947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Cilic42c336$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.041,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cilic11c330.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.591,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nakashima58c324.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Cilic42c310.59$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4512755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Cilic9c300.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.661,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Cilic14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Nakashima58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Cilic17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cilic20c251.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.061,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nakashima60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cilic40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Cilic19c237.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.16648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Cilic43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cilic26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Cilic29c226.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0546030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Cilic40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Cilic46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007618.4%14 W · 62 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nakashima60c217.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8151849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Nakashima63c213.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Cilic40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nakashima58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8468951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Nakashima60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806050%30 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Nakashima60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8026247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Cilic10c196.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Nakashima54c195.82$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Nakashima58c193.09$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.12634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Nakashima59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.827344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Cilic28c178.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nakashima59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4950952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Cilic18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cilic39c160.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.663,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Nakashima63c159.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9221454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Cilic41c153.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8140744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Nakashima56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Nakashima57c147.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3784736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cilic47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Cilic18c144.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Cilic21c143.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Nakashima60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3357349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cilic41c132.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.121,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6b…e258backed Cilic17c127.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Cilic18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Nakashima56c107.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.123842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Cilic16c103.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.757521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Nakashima59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4125051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Cilic22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Cilic40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Nakashima57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4314858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked Cilic40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Nakashima60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.