MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfccf76fbd39c217148cafd7cca877fe8be258fcbb705090b93a2226d441a093e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof New York Yankees, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 41c | 8,212$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,434$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,266$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,515$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 982.26$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.78 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 841.79$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 801.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked New York Yankees | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed New York Yankees | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 488.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 408.88$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Yankees | 41c | 344.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Yankees | 22c | 303.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 296.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees | 41c | 240.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 164.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed New York Yankees | 16c | 152.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed New York Yankees | 17c | 120.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New York Yankees | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Yankees | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…5d6cbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 58.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 54.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 22c | 52.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 39c | 52.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 41c | 48.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked New York Yankees | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees | 31c | 41.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed New York Yankees | 41c | 40.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 38.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 40c | 35.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 28.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 27.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 21.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.