TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed Colorado Rockies41c25,000$10,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2504949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Milwaukee Brewers59c17,323$10,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,102.4371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers57c15,083$8,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.431,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers59c14,330$8,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,811.944,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Colorado Rockies40c9,921$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.426056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies41c6,578$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.166,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies41c6,209$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.524,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers59c5,501$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Colorado Rockies43c5,400$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32233852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Colorado Rockies41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers60c4,285$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.7523357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies40c4,080$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.15,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers58c3,355$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.331,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies43c2,371$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.932,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Milwaukee Brewers59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8207147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers60c1,877$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.88,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Colorado Rockies43c1,856$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.0877647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies41c1,718$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.0811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Milwaukee Brewers59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9239953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Milwaukee Brewers59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9238551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies40c1,381$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.531,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Colorado Rockies41c1,224$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.936048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers59c1,102$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.697564%48 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Colorado Rockies39c914.43$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6364452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32026255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies41c733.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.242,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies43c719.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7195252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies42c594.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.71,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers60c578.25$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.32,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies43c500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.631,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Colorado Rockies41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7328152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…944dbacked Milwaukee Brewers59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.733655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Milwaukee Brewers60c422.56$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.731,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies40c310$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Colorado Rockies41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.081,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Colorado Rockies41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers60c296.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7734756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies13c272.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies42c261.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Milwaukee Brewers60c240.95$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3855448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c229.85$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5414655.5%81 W · 65 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers58c214.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.131,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers58c195$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies40c195$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Milwaukee Brewers59c190$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Colorado Rockies42c180.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Milwaukee Brewers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Milwaukee Brewers59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.542355.6%235 W · 188 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Milwaukee Brewers73c147.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1255645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies43c124$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies14c121$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.944,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70e9…a9d5backed Milwaukee Brewers58c118$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Colorado Rockies42c114.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0673653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Colorado Rockies43c114$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7513345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Milwaukee Brewers59c100.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.079554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Colorado Rockies32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies41c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.492,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2968942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Milwaukee Brewers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.755442.6%23 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Milwaukee Brewers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7519454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3339149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Milwaukee Brewers60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3318556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Milwaukee Brewers59c74.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4324444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Milwaukee Brewers59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.816355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Milwaukee Brewers60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6719754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6717155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Colorado Rockies32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2147646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Milwaukee Brewers60c63.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Colorado Rockies41c61.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4834846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Milwaukee Brewers32c60.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2143954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Colorado Rockies46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers59c58.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.214,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies28c56.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Colorado Rockies41c53.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0929141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked Colorado Rockies41c48.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.726055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4c…3bb8backed Colorado Rockies43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206845.6%31 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Colorado Rockies41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4513153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543b…e23dbacked Milwaukee Brewers56c43.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d3…ed4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a10…2a2ebacked Milwaukee Brewers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486060%36 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd62…344abacked Milwaukee Brewers59c34.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.114245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Colorado Rockies41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Colorado Rockies41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.330928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Colorado Rockies41c27.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.395042%21 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb0e…219dbacked Milwaukee Brewers60c25.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers54c21.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c34…b7adbacked Milwaukee Brewers59c21.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.697248.6%35 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.