MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c5c6a6ce15ef9cafe48efa8cad53454b89a92e38c939d7d9e0c150b6a14ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 55,265$29,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,764.04 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 47c | 22,175$10,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,422.25 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 16,210$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.39 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 46c | 12,222$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.12 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Under | 46c | 9,400$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 6,279$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.05 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 47c | 4,538$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.81 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 4,010$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.7 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 2,965$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.87 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 2,874$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 47c | 2,578$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 1,521$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 1,365$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 900$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 428.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 46c | 426.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 401.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 45c | 356.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 53c | 217.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 48c | 214.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Under | 47c | 131.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 77.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 47c | 59.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 56.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 54c | 55.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 53.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Under | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 47c | 47.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Under | 47c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Under | 47c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 46c | 30.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Under | 47c | 28.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…c158backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…b3f4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.