Us Politics · resolved market
2024 Balance of Power: Other
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4302790173d1f5b438ac937d1fd64360f8a134589f3d490626f7c1f67b2b3611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,501,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,263,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,501,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 3,582,695$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.21 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…2739backed Yes | 0c | 551,887$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…dd2cbacked Yes | 0c | 551,614$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 429,795$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…e7dfbacked Yes | 0c | 354,978$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 286,904$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…1e69backed Yes | 0c | 261,856$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…3cdfbacked Yes | 0c | 204,325$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 0c | 193,340$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.16 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…94e9backed Yes | 0c | 158,534$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…47c1backed Yes | 0c | 148,942$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…ea98backed Yes | 0c | 143,498$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…2744backed Yes | 0c | 140,192$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…188abacked Yes | 0c | 140,134$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b2…4243backed Yes | 0c | 131,716$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb73backed Yes | 0c | 130,227$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 128,520$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.16 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…55d0backed Yes | 0c | 126,572$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 0c | 119,199$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.63 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 99,904$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +411%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…52f3backed Yes | 0c | 97,535$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…56c2backed Yes | 0c | 96,730$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 0c | 90,302$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 76,138$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…1cfbbacked Yes | 0c | 74,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 0c | 64,817$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.39 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…f6c2backed Yes | 0c | 60,045$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…c0d3backed Yes | 0c | 51,980$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…cf4dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,660$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…26ecbacked Yes | 0c | 51,180$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da1…7086backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…e192backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…4313backed Yes | 0c | 41,458$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…6ce1backed Yes | 0c | 39,514$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fb…2f00backed Yes | 0c | 39,250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…bdccbacked Yes | 0c | 39,249$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…bbe2backed Yes | 0c | 39,094$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…3e0abacked Yes | 0c | 38,704$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…93ecbacked Yes | 0c | 38,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3d9abacked Yes | 0c | 36,500$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…0f38backed Yes | 0c | 33,007$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…6bc0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…9ecabacked Yes | 0c | 28,035$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…9c87backed Yes | 0c | 26,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…d17bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,783$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…732abacked Yes | 0c | 23,940$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…736bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,950$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…8e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,945$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…1762backed Yes | 0c | 22,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…2486backed Yes | 0c | 22,111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…fba1backed Yes | 0c | 21,940$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73f…8b3dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,900$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…72c5backed Yes | 0c | 21,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…792cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,598$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…5fcdbacked Yes | 0c | 21,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 20,956$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…bdebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,752$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…1af4backed Yes | 0c | 20,676$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…daebbacked Yes | 0c | 20,672$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…2fcbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,629$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…8f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,615$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…2b5dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,527$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…e07ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,520$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…a080backed Yes | 0c | 20,501$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…ca64backed Yes | 0c | 20,453$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…fed7backed Yes | 0c | 20,431$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 0c | 20,325$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…9425backed Yes | 0c | 20,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…e102backed Yes | 0c | 20,294$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…c763backed Yes | 0c | 20,250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Yes | 0c | 20,126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…e414backed Yes | 0c | 20,108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…ae14backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…6bb8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe3…015cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2504…73b1backed Yes | 0c | 19,989$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…3718backed Yes | 0c | 19,945$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…3e06backed Yes | 0c | 19,945$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…01f9backed Yes | 0c | 19,903$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…835bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,847$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…b4dbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,837$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…eefcbacked Yes | 0c | 19,835$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b5…160ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,793$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…db8bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,757$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…2e38backed Yes | 0c | 19,732$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…0831backed Yes | 0c | 19,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d822backed Yes | 0c | 19,428$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…2afdbacked Yes | 0c | 19,284$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…bc74backed Yes | 0c | 19,248$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…6f9bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,231$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762c…9a3dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,211$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…8ce3backed Yes | 0c | 19,166$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 2024 Balance of Power: Otherthis page
- 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes won
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseNo won
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.