Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 9: Hackett vs. Derevyanchenko (Middleweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a57ab80428dc12a6e8bc9b29f26cd98813113b2f027d88889115a7bb28e3cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hackettof Hackett, Derevyanchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Derevyanchenko | 38c | 615.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Derevyanchenko | 38c | 552$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Hackett | 61c | 401.64$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Hackett | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Hackett | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Hackett | 63c | 315.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Derevyanchenko | 31c | 305.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Hackett | 72c | 265$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Hackett | 62c | 203.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Hackett | 67c | 135.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Hackett | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Derevyanchenko | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…0a8bbacked Derevyanchenko | 33c | 98.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Derevyanchenko | 12c | 96.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Derevyanchenko | 37c | 88.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Derevyanchenko | 32c | 82.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…2a52backed Derevyanchenko | 20c | 52.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Derevyanchenko | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Derevyanchenko | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Hackett | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Hackett | 65c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…c697backed Derevyanchenko | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…cd53backed Derevyanchenko | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…de7ebacked Hackett | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…63a7backed Hackett | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…584fbacked Derevyanchenko | 50c | 23.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…4de6backed Hackett | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…43c3backed Derevyanchenko | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Hackett | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…92d9backed Hackett | 66c | 16.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.