College Football · resolved market
Will there be 54.5 or more combined points scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76e93140fa0f0c1a842f516b71e3f8577c6dd54ee0af2cbee422fb2aa05be87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 49c | 1,980$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed No | 52c | 655$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 51c | 571$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 48c | 360$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked No | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 49c | 284.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 51c | 94.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…f88fbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…aad3backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…5374backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 51c | 37.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 49c | 28.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 54.5 or more combined points scored?this page
- Miami vs. Florida winner?Miami won
- Will Miami win by 3 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.