MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88c8dbf1e22ba8358c8ff8a2450f5fee0bbc4b01447cabb3fcef7d210b9065d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Houston Astros, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 15,779$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,577.99 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 11,861$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.72 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 9,000$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 8,822$5,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,910.4 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 7,601$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.65 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 62c | 7,517$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 7,290$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 7,216$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.32 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Houston Astros | 62c | 6,775$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 5,651$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 3,646$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 3,590$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 2,990$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros | 61c | 2,498$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.71 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 2,189$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 2,178$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.74 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 2,169$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.4 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,165$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.59 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 2,133$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.39 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,083$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.47 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 2,071$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Colorado Rockies | 80c | 1,656$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.83 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 1,540$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 1,485$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 1,134$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.16 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 21c | 1,125$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 1,015$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.79 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…2650backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 5c | 993.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 17c | 961.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 857.73$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 5c | 794.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 47c | 746.57$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 724.73$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Houston Astros | 61c | 684.6$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 680.83$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 666.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Houston Astros | 27c | 655.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Houston Astros | 61c | 648$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Houston Astros | 32c | 619.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 614.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.98 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 590.61$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.58 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 39c | 579.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 545.46$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 533.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Houston Astros | 62c | 527.69$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 457.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Houston Astros | 5c | 437.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 430.75$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.92 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 60c | 423$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 61c | 412.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros | 62c | 400$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 395.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.1 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 368.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Houston Astros | 35c | 368.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Houston Astros | 62c | 340.07$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Houston Astros | 60c | 334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 311.54$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 302.59$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Houston Astros | 62c | 252.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 251.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 248.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 247.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Houston Astros | 35c | 242.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 236.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 235.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 231.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 220.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 220.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Houston Astros | 27c | 220.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 216.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 205.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 202.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 201.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 199.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 197.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.66 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Houston Astros | 50c | 196.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 192.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 191.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Houston Astros | 62c | 177.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 62c | 177.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Houston Astros | 61c | 176.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Houston Astros | 24c | 174.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 174.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 172.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.