Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Daniel Evans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb7d8661cc226826c569ba98b38799133c93dabb09e3ae3ce85bace9d2ab1844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Evansof Juan Carlos Prado, Daniel Evans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 39c | 15,327$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Evans | 62c | 8,721$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Evans | 67c | 5,590$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.53 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Carlos Prado | 7c | 4,543$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.85 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Evans | 78c | 2,669$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.74 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Evans | 80c | 2,553$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.19 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Juan Carlos Prado | 15c | 1,965$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Daniel Evans | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…229ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 38c | 1,280$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.61 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 1,039$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Evans | 76c | 1,022$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 654.75$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Juan Carlos Prado | 2c | 639.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Juan Carlos Prado | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Daniel Evans | 75c | 559$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 499.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 31c | 494.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 485.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Juan Carlos Prado | 5c | 483.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 458.82$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 380.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 379.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Daniel Evans | 66c | 378.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Carlos Prado | 52c | 366.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Daniel Evans | 64c | 353.02$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 304.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Juan Carlos Prado | 40c | 215.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Daniel Evans | 48c | 212.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Juan Carlos Prado | 28c | 211.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Daniel Evans | 73c | 208.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Juan Carlos Prado | 21c | 193.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Evans | 60c | 188.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Daniel Evans | 63c | 179.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 169.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Evans | 65c | 154.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Daniel Evans | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Juan Carlos Prado | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 125.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Juan Carlos Prado | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Juan Carlos Prado | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Daniel Evans | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | +37.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Daniel Evans | 64c | 119.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Daniel Evans | 74c | 108.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 98.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Evans | 71c | 90.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Daniel Evans | 61c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 84.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Evans | 69c | 82.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Daniel Evans | 58c | 64.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Daniel Evans | 73c | 62.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 62.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Juan Carlos Prado | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Daniel Evans | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Juan Carlos Prado | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Daniel Evans | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Daniel Evans | 65c | 36.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Evans | 63c | 34.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Daniel Evans | 61c | 32.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618e…9981backed Juan Carlos Prado | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 41c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Daniel Evans | 66c | 29.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Daniel Evans | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Daniel Evans | 75c | 16.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Daniel Evans | 74c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Daniel Evans | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Daniel Evansthis page
- Prado vs. Evans: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Evans (-1.5) vs Prado (+1.5)Evans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.