Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5620b8652f527ea90dace389eba0d7142931f3b5e5b86f144abad8b6a037c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiangsu Dragonsof Jiangsu Dragons, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 10,700$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 10,700$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 3,710$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.26 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 58c | 1,881$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.96 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 72c | 1,193$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 57c | 864.79$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 582$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.86 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 431.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b02…0c1cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 282.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 202.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 66c | 163.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 35c | 146.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 52c | 146$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 141.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 137.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 36c | 131$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 72c | 130.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 109.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 93.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 74.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 67.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 38c | 67.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jiangsu Dragons | 47c | 64.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 68c | 62.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Jiangsu Dragons | 36c | 47.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 46.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 53c | 32.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 30.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 21.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jiangsu Dragons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.