Lol · resolved market
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bfd9b1d145d28aabc76f7f30286c6d28e495d983b3b26ffb81b5ee268e6e6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Ultra Prime | 12c | 6,103$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.9 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Ultra Prime | 18c | 5,622$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.43 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Ultra Prime | 20c | 3,306$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.4 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked LNG Esports | 80c | 2,666$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.84 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ultra Prime | 15c | 1,431$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Ultra Prime | 20c | 1,322$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed LNG Esports | 80c | 1,322$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…93f7backed LNG Esports | 80c | 1,321$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LNG Esports | 63c | 1,026$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.66 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LNG Esports | 73c | 1,026$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…0b4bbacked Ultra Prime | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Ultra Prime | 15c | 787.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Ultra Prime | 10c | 616.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked Ultra Prime | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Ultra Prime | 23c | 499.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 473.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Ultra Prime | 15c | 441.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed LNG Esports | 62c | 438.42$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Ultra Prime | 25c | 394.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed LNG Esports | 77c | 390.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Ultra Prime | 23c | 387.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 384.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 369.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Ultra Prime | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked LNG Esports | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Ultra Prime | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed LNG Esports | 76c | 263.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Ultra Prime | 19c | 260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Ultra Prime | 21c | 218.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed LNG Esports | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Ultra Prime | 22c | 177$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed LNG Esports | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed LNG Esports | 65c | 129.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed LNG Esports | 77c | 129.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed LNG Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 359 | 66.6%239 W · 120 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked LNG Esports | 77c | 112.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ultra Prime | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked LNG Esports | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Ultra Prime | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Ultra Prime | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 31.2%108 W · 238 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LNG Esports | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…c1c9backed LNG Esports | 79c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +13.4wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ultra Prime | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Ultra Prime | 34c | 53.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…a8e9backed Ultra Prime | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed LNG Esports | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LNG Esports | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked LNG Esports | 64c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…55d5backed LNG Esports | 77c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed LNG Esports | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LNG Esports | 62c | 25.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed LNG Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…e572backed LNG Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5)LNG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LNG Esports to win 1 games?No won
- LNG Esports to win 2 games?Yes won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime (BO3)LNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Ultra Prime to win 1 games?No won
- Ultra Prime to win 2 games?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.