Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a821c06c2e43df95fed6e91fab535bc2e567523d31f8560a1399485ad620a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolina Gamecocksof Texas Longhorns, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas Longhorns | 51c | 1,974$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 1,060$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 526.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 217.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 52c | 105.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Texas Longhorns | 40c | 37.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 29.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-13.5)this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas LonghornsTexas Longhorns won
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.