Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc87f0dd584cf69972feabf2e415122e12f46e5398c297f5f8edb5390bdb7036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Under | 49c | 141,104$68,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,935.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 58,876$30,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,849.42 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 51c | 58,000$29,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,420 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 55c | 16,378$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,407.89 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 5,170$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 4,483$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 4,372$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.87 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.98 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.48 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,203$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.64 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 51c | 289.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 239.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 182.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 116.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Over | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 52c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 149.5this page
- South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas LonghornsTexas Longhorns won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-13.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.