Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0bc2bc0c9d538b9ead5fb93447fc8afed4cefd021e7e1a8935de9cd364e709e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 54c | 5,159$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 3,473$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 46c | 3,349$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 2,500$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.87 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 1,125$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 31c | 1,049$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.43 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 69c | 652.83$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 39c | 360.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 57c | 353.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 31c | 318.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 41c | 308.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 247.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 226.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 207.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 198.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked Over | 70c | 189$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 45c | 175.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed Under | 54c | 138.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 113.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 72c | 109.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 44c | 92.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 53c | 84.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 73.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 71c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 67c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Under | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 53.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 31c | 41.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Under | 54c | 40.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 39.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 38c | 39.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 45c | 35.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 45c | 30.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Under | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 49c | 27.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 51c | 26.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Under | 56c | 21.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.