Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8016eb38e0fda72c6229231afe39e8a535b54c23810baa4c41ca0145ce1e2b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof The Bandits, Frites Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed The Bandits | 7c | 1,911$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed The Bandits | 10c | 1,351$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed The Bandits | 6c | 1,348$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed The Bandits | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed The Bandits | 11c | 871.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked The Bandits | 9c | 568.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed The Bandits | 7c | 514.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed The Bandits | 6c | 395.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed The Bandits | 6c | 368.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa46e…8bacbacked The Bandits | 9c | 322.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed The Bandits | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked The Bandits | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed The Bandits | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…3d09backed The Bandits | 7c | 158.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…e9e5backed The Bandits | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed The Bandits | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked The Bandits | 59c | 87.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Frites Esports Club | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Frites Esports Club | 78c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Groupthis page
- Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs The Bandits (+1.5)Frites Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: The Bandits vs Frites Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.