TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c25,211$12,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,505.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Under53c21,217$11,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,244.844052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c21,211$10,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,930.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c8,062$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eea…6a6dbacked Under51c5,892$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c5,120$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over51c5,000$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.2777348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c4,475$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.7521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c2,958$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.4358449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1829652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,564$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c2,438$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.113,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over51c2,437$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.2526949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a16…e0b5backed Over49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,909$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.7771547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ec…8815backed Over49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc607…28febacked Over49c1,892$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over80c1,710$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.367047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under20c1,653$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c1,607$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.482,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,071$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Over58c825.4$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4613155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over48c734.25$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8120147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over49c714.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c709.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.591,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under38c627.82$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.483,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over59c583.4$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c558.96$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.119647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under49c489$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6111942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c433.39$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Over50c395.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.811717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c365$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c346.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under14c308$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over47c306.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over18c250$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over57c243.4$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5321642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over51c196.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6433246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c192.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.092,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c163.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Over49c163.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.320650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c137.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c132.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over78c130.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1431144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c129.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under45c124.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5725143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under56c124.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.541,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under53c118.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.621,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c117$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Under15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.752449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.179642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7136…5cdabacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-46.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99e…fa3dbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Under51c93.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.328744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.423445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c79.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over70c72.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.727247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c61.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6220949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under49c59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9128243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c57.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Under51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c51.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under51c49.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0112547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.