Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed450619f11cd7410bd260fe66b645db1d852aec803675d0fe40e725db449bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 49c | 58,640$28,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,733.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 20,287$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.97 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 8,613$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 6,997$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 5,010$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.23 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 4,649$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,002$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.02 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 2,425$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.38 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 51c | 2,070$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.3 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 48c | 1,711$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 53c | 1,374$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 586.14$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 574.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 432.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 375$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 237.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 159.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 137.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 51c | 92.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 44.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked Over | 51c | 28.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Under | 49c | 28.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 27.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 48c | 25.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Over | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 142.5this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-13.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.