Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e768a3b70a93e37961faa56e9eacc39582a819218dfabd0a218fb2ccabdeb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, Houston Christian Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 47c | 75,000$35,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,749.99 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 22,500$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,925 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 22,500$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,925 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 8,623$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 7,559$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.27 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 7,439$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.45 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.53 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 52c | 724.02$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 675.02$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 582.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 281.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 185.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 92.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Houston Christian Huskies | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Houston Christian Huskies | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 61c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Houston Christian Huskies | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)this page
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley VaquerosTexas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.