Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38bf88bd4f811c3da04a17930b30e5579f9acf9bc1b7dc06a738e9c47731ba18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosof Houston Christian Huskies, Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Christian Huskies | 1c | 2,522$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Christian Huskies | 1c | 1,217$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0e15backed Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 913.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 21c | 880$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Houston Christian Huskies | 1c | 834.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Houston Christian Huskies | 2c | 724.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 515.24$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 390.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 376$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Houston Christian Huskies | 21c | 194.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 8c | 142.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Houston Christian Huskies | 17c | 141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Houston Christian Huskies | 19c | 105.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 100.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Houston Christian Huskies | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 34.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 77c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 79c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosthis page
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.