Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c63e94138189ddc5db456ba7f2db54cbf487e37f1acf5c51ac854d292be87d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 65,814$32,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,906.88 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 14,815$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.4 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.19 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 6,734$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 2,791$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.76 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,549$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 50c | 1,015$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.37 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 988.68$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.68 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 616.48$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 597.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 510.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 48c | 424.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 355.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 314$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 50c | 202.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 49c | 196.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 147.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 146.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 49c | 81.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 55.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: O/U 140.5this page
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley VaquerosTexas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
- Spread: Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (-9.5)Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.