Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e069f24b7adffa42a952a5eb161e6270b25712b163e3b72c520e5053954c493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 73c | 52,857$38,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,585.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 19,423$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,420.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 12,102$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,826.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 8,691$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 8,684$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.12 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 8,015$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.8 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 27c | 5,911$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 1,548$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.06 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 1,376$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.4 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 1,268$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 24c | 539.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 27c | 449$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.77 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 27c | 402.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 27c | 359.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 324$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 28c | 258.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 247.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 27c | 244.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 58c | 241.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 218$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 217.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 30c | 199.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 27c | 198.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 29c | 164.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d7…fe65backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 99.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 67c | 98.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 62c | 97.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 48c | 94.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 42c | 94.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 27c | 87.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 31c | 59.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 29c | 58.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 38c | 58.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 26c | 52.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 36.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…5b91backed Yes | 29c | 35.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed No | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 72c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 72c | 18.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…52f5backed No | 72c | 17.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.