Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6370eece5e61467e9b3196b1e12530077f0c74d945b171bdb334e790f9b94f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 114,223$58,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,149.55 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 47,166$23,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,674.82 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 42,500$21,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,225 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 31,345$15,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,218.47 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.76 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 11,806$5,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.77 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 54c | 10,157$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.44 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,798$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 6,945$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.43 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.96 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 5,034$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.7 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 4,059$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 1,275$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,265$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.63 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 983.33$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.33 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 631.85$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.72 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 570.55$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 554.58$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 489.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 425$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.35 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 338$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 234.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 227.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 104.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 103.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 51c | 66.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 59.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 48c | 55.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 52c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 52c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 54c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-13.5)UCLA Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.