Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba9586ee1dd8bbcef584a6179799e310f250a077b4c71baf8b0707ed8de7094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed UCLA Bruins | 49c | 24,999$12,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.72 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 15,580$7,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 14,728$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.55 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked UCLA Bruins | 50c | 12,586$6,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.2 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked UCLA Bruins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 3,335$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.18 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 3,029$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed UCLA Bruins | 51c | 2,950$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.7 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 2,146$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.34 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 2,091$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 434$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked UCLA Bruins | 50c | 319.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 255.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 73.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked UCLA Bruins | 49c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCLA Bruins | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UCLA Bruins | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-13.5)this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.