South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38a3ce125ecec0e450aa808d1aa7837331e00981f2324fb969dec14eea29703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 59c | 15,431$9,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,175.74 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 10,996$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 5,697$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.34 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 63c | 5,271$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.07 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 60c | 4,822$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.58 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 4,370$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.32 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 4,244$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.16 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 3,706$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.95 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 3,124$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.61 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 2,045$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 1,769$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 66c | 1,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 45c | 1,323$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 34c | 1,269$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 1,189$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.91 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 40c | 905.57$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 34c | 672.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 55c | 644.91$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.24 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 52c | 614$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.34 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 586.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 29c | 583$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 38c | 546.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.53 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 40c | 531.86$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.43 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 493$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 44c | 455.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 27c | 400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 53c | 394$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 52c | 379.6$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…a324backed Yes | 54c | 375$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 373.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 54c | 370.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 38c | 340$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 34c | 329.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 36c | 308.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 52c | 279.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 68c | 269.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 36c | 242.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 35c | 209.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 38c | 148.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 147.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 66c | 137.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 137.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 33c | 134$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 54c | 118.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 64c | 109.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Yes | 43c | 100.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 30c | 100.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 96.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed No | 44c | 96.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…7f3dbacked Yes | 66c | 91.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Yes | 32c | 86.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 45c | 84.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 77.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 38c | 73.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed No | 66c | 73.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 35c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Yes | 58c | 63.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 36c | 61.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 65c | 59.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 35c | 58.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 39c | 58.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 41c | 56.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 54.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Yes | 58c | 51.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…2b52backed Yes | 61c | 51.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 48c | 49.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…621dbacked Yes | 61c | 47.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 53c | 47.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 53c | 43.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 42.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked No | 75c | 42.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 61c | 41.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed No | 52c | 38.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…9636backed No | 40c | 37.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.