Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3730bdd2465d4267330f760ca97da0a2b8f152bebad3c7f9ecdaad881ae2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Under | 48c | 69,535$33,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,376.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 32,500$16,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,950 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 26,246$13,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,123.03 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 19,309$9,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,730.79 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 9,040$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,436.26 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 49c | 5,659$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.69 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 4,151$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 2,800$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 51c | 1,722$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.78 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,700$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 807$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.43 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 750$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 262.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 259.26$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 51c | 143.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 125.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 53c | 109.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 51c | 72.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 67.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 60.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 50c | 26.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 49c | 22.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 145.5this page
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville AcesIndiana State Sycamores won
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-2.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.