Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf1186e49fe195b6ced71ce164059590d460b2627167b7bf5337167e106136b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana State Sycamoresof Indiana State Sycamores, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Indiana State Sycamores | 59c | 2,699$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.42 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 56c | 2,619$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Evansville Aces | 46c | 2,507$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Evansville Aces | 43c | 2,502$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.86 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Evansville Aces | 47c | 2,331$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 2,053$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.56 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Evansville Aces | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.57 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evansville Aces | 1c | 1,685$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Evansville Aces | 49c | 1,637$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 1,445$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Evansville Aces | 4c | 1,400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 1,101$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 958$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 520.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evansville Aces | 11c | 411.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Evansville Aces | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Evansville Aces | 43c | 314$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…9d21backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 288.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Evansville Aces | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 44c | 144.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 126.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Evansville Aces | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Evansville Aces | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 96.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 92.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 70.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Evansville Aces | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Evansville Aces | 42c | 59.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Evansville Aces | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evansville Aces | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Evansville Aces | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Evansville Aces | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Evansville Aces | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…2c44backed Evansville Aces | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Evansville Aces | 36c | 34.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 33.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Evansville Aces | 42c | 31.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 30.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Evansville Aces | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Evansville Aces | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed Indiana State Sycamores | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Evansville Aces | 43c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Evansville Aces | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…f242backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Evansville Aces | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…3b02backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…ed3dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…82aabacked Indiana State Sycamores | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…d933backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…9b13backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…8257backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Acesthis page
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-2.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.