Fifa International · resolved market
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c149f3d35a928cfe5a9254b0ca9d608ed3a6b4e173b94c5c2afe384175c213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 3,033$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 2,140$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.13 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 7c | 1,571$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 7c | 1,409$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 34c | 1,383$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.67 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 64c | 1,376$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.13 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 64c | 1,322$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.79 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 32c | 1,269$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.14 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 61c | 796$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 17c | 599.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 78c | 584.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 565$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 79c | 536.41$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 495.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 19c | 450.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 389.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked No | 36c | 373$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 21c | 370.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 347.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 19c | 337.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 19c | 333$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 21c | 278.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 21c | 268.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 64c | 265.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 10c | 265.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 33c | 258.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 64c | 243$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 232.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 230.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 28c | 216.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 201$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 67c | 195.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…31c5backed No | 9c | 153.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 20c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed No | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 11c | 121.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…ef71backed No | 34c | 112.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 72c | 101.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 14c | 88.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 33c | 86.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Yes | 76c | 81.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 66c | 73.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed Yes | 64c | 73.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed Yes | 61c | 65.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed No | 33c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 21c | 58.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 62c | 58.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 69c | 57.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 19c | 54.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…9832backed Yes | 67c | 52.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 51.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 75c | 48.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 70c | 46.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 45.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Yes | 64c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 80c | 41.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 36.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…44b1backed Yes | 78c | 35.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 28.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 76c | 26.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Yes | 71c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 74c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angola win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw?No won
- Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.