Tennis · resolved market
ITF Marburg: Tom Sickenberger vs Oliver Majdandzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x948c8e4be816bf53ee168c80b382abdc1006eb0a1b9262e9ae03cbce27ad2610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oliver Majdandzicof Tom Sickenberger, Oliver Majdandzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oliver Majdandzic | 42c | 582.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.81 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 487.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tom Sickenberger | 46c | 364.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tom Sickenberger | 45c | 251.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Oliver Majdandzic | 55c | 216.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 42c | 214.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 56c | 180.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Majdandzic | 42c | 118.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tom Sickenberger | 56c | 102.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tom Sickenberger | 17c | 82.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Tom Sickenberger | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tom Sickenberger | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 68.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 58.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tom Sickenberger | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Oliver Majdandzic | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Oliver Majdandzic | 55c | 35.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Oliver Majdandzic | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Tom Sickenberger | 58c | 26.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.