Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed922eb29725a74fcb20897af965f5e9b4c2001c99f7915b54fc804edd89ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 52c | 65,883$34,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,366.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 54c | 28,616$15,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,204.28 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 20,725$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,688.48 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 11,500$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 8,506$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.77 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 51c | 6,962$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.16 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 47c | 3,929$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 3,680$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.44 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 2,208$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.92 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,909$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 1,075$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.09 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 299.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 286.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 213.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 213.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 200.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 172.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 53c | 168.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 47c | 106.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 54c | 88.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 78.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 55c | 70.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 46c | 56.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 54c | 52.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 48c | 50.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 35.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Under | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 48c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 138.5this page
- UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech TrailblazersUtah Tech Trailblazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.