Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33b95cb43ded8589a429c9737df2238954ca0a2226cafe874ff2a1351a40b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 82,246$41,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,698.29 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 23,654$11,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,242.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 23,500$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,825 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 11,111$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.47 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 6,525$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.11 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 45c | 4,055$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 3,550$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,822$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.62 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,739$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.02 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 45c | 1,569$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.09 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 788.74$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.34 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 741.68$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 47c | 504.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.26 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 492$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 393.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 352.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 249.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 246.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 235$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 221.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 101.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 55c | 85.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 45.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 35.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 48c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 56c | 19.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Under | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 160.5this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. SMU MustangsNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-2.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.